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Dividend Analysis
Updated: Friday, May-26-2017
10:40pm ET


Why are dividends important for determining index arbitrage conditions?
  • The fair value premium equals the interest earned on the spot index minus dividends earned by the stocks that comprise the index. The relevant time period is from the current date until the future's expiration.
  • As you might imagine, controversy exists about how to implement the above equation: some arbitrageurs measure dividends by yield; others (correctly in our opinion) by amount.
  • Both measures are presented here.

  Dividend Yields

 Index Aggregate Value of Index Components

[S&P and Nasdaq in millions.
Dow Jones in units.]
Aggregate Dividends

[Next four quarters]

[S&P and Nasdaq in millions.
Dow Jones in units.]
Dividend Yield (%)

[Aggregate Dividends divided by Aggregate Value]
Link Button to Individual Stock Dividend Yields
 S&P
[Floating Capitalization Weighted: stock price and per-share dividend are multiplied by the number of floating shares and then scaled to millions.]
20,730,242.097 431,071.097 2.08
 Nasdaq 100
[Modified Cap. Weighted: stock price and per-share dividend are multiplied by the Nasdaq weight factors and then scaled to millions.]
8,194,751.319 95,541.068 1.17
 Dow Jones
[Price Weighted: Sum of prices and dividends of stocks in the DJIA index.
(N.B. Divide stock price sum by the DJIA divisor to get the index value.) ]
3,078.170 77.724 2.53

 

  Dividend Amounts

Futures Total Dividends in Index Futures Period

[From May-30-2017 to
each future's expiration]

[S&P and Nasdaq 100 dividends are cap. weighted and in millions;
Dow Jones dividends are unweighted and in units.]
Divisor Adjusted Dividends

Total Dividends in Index Futures Period divided by the index divisor.

 Index Divisors:
  S&P 500 (Derived) 8,581.03753461
  Nasdaq 100 1,415.72938091
  Dow Jones Ind. Avg. 0.14602130
Link Button to Individual Stock Dividends
S&P 500      
    JUN 2017 22,648.540      2.639     
    SEP 2017 126,691.873      14.764     
    DEC 2017 234,222.624      27.295     
Nasdaq 100      
    JUN 2017 2,767.365      1.955     
    SEP 2017 25,096.685      17.727     
    DEC 2017 49,471.540      34.944     
Dow Jones      
    JUN 2017 3.420      23.421     
    SEP 2017 22.760      155.865     
    DEC 2017 42.377      290.209     


 
Notes to the Calculations
  • Internal values have a precision of at least twelve decimal places. Displayed values, however, are rounded to three decimal places.
  • Therefore, if you divide the rounded amounts in the above two tables, you may get slightly different values.
    [For example, division of the rounded values for Total Dividends in Index Futures Period by the appropriate index divisor to obtain the Divisor Adjusted Dividends may produce slightly different values.] The correct values are those displayed.
 

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